Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.037944e-01 0.242558 0.284091 0.331627 0.384255 0.440478 0.504819
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.524369e-01 0.204357 0.264192 0.337140 0.422582 0.518462 0.633153
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.098289e-01 0.166885 0.237672 0.329303 0.442195 0.574326 0.738231
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.323330e-02 0.143235 0.223108 0.332212 0.472564 0.642600 0.859690
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.048648e-02 0.119484 0.204115 0.326112 0.489658 0.694193 0.962150
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.163176e-02 0.096501 0.181988 0.312295 0.494270 0.728888 1.043734
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.220376e-02 0.086011 0.175893 0.319121 0.525479 0.797601 1.169190
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.249861e-02 0.071891 0.161598 0.311927 0.536021 0.838698 1.259583
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.851340e-02 0.067772 0.162788 0.327587 0.578842 0.923499 1.408316
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.345606e-02 0.059304 0.154913 0.327923 0.598903 0.977430 1.517049
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.690300e-03 0.052201 0.148149 0.329000 0.619459 1.031979 1.627166
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.489004e-03 0.048318 0.146823 0.338682 0.652923 1.104941 1.763088
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.755400e-03 0.045059 0.146476 0.350352 0.690509 1.185627 1.912598
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.330036e-03 0.041917 0.145819 0.361283 0.727212 1.265842 2.062946
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.594959e-03 0.035625 0.136841 0.356216 0.738057 1.308749 2.162301
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.689242e-03 0.032090 0.133550 0.361218 0.764998 1.375433 2.295650
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.593221e-04 0.027093 0.125371 0.355929 0.774515 1.416300 2.393085
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.909065e-04 0.021394 0.113536 0.341957 0.768461 1.433295 2.456482
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.408324e-04 0.019593 0.112424 0.349639 0.799250 1.506225 2.600591
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.425131e-05 0.016002 0.104579 0.342243 0.803408 1.538369 2.686201
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.017670e-05 0.015749 0.107820 0.359066 0.850486 1.637203 2.869501
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.250187e-07 0.013643 0.103867 0.359522 0.868365 1.690981 2.987759
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.011857 0.100431 0.360728 0.887426 1.746727 3.109375